With the start of a new NFL season, my weekly trends article is back, posting every Wednesday before the games kick-off.
Backing trends at the start of any season, regardless of the sport, can be a little tricky. While some rosters and coaching staffs don’t go through an overwhelming amount of change, others have gone through a dramatic turnover which heavily changes the team’s playing philosophy. As a result, we’ll see some trends bleed into the early parts of the 2024 season and beyond, but others will fizzle out quicker than the career of Deshaun Watson.
Some in the betting community can’t stand trends, but I simply view them as a starting point for a handicap. It’s important to ask yourself if some patterns are more coincidental and if the market reacting to the trend. It’s also important to attempt to recognize when a trend is developing and if the stats support jumping on board.
With those words of caution out of the way, let’s get right into the action with my favorite NFL betting trends ahead of Week 1.